From the booth

The model favored FAU to win, and the call landed.

Florida Atlantic comes in here as a heavy favorite with a 78 percent win probability, and you can see why when you look at the tape from these last five games. The Owls have been more efficient on both sides of the ball, and Vegas has them laying 11 and a half points at Monroe, which the market's backing with about 78 percent confidence as well. UL Monroe's sitting at just 22 percent to pull off the upset, and they're gonna need to find a way to tighten up that defense and get their offense clicking if they've got any shot today.