Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ETProtective Stadium, BirminghamFinal
Samford
SAM · 0-0
14
Final
UAB
UAB · 2-2
33
Final
Model called it
Spread
UAB -30.5
Moneyline
SAM +2200 / UAB -8000
Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
84.2°F · 4 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Protective Stadium · Birmingham
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
SAM 14 / UAB 33
From the booth
The model favored UAB to win, and the call landed.
UAB hosts Samford in a nonconference matchup Saturday afternoon, and the Blazers are in full control at home. The Bulldogs are opening their season while Birmingham brings a 2-2 start and momentum from a 24-20 win over Navy. Our model has UAB at 99%, aligned with a market laying 30.5 points on the Blazers.
Why the model leans UAB
- Favors UAB: UAB+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors UAB: UAB+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors UAB: UAB+0.00Point differential, last 5 games