Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ETSimmons Bank Liberty Stadium, MemphisPrime timeConference gameFinal
UAB
UAB · 3-2
13
Final
Memphis
MEM · 4-1
38
Final
Model called it
Spread
MEM -14.5
Moneyline
UAB +455 / MEM -625
Total
O/U 53.5
Weather
70.1°F · 14.7 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Memphis
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
UAB 13 / MEM 38
From the booth
The model favored MEM to win, and the call landed.
Memphis rolls into Saturday night off back-to-back wins, including a 59-8 blowout at Charlotte, and the Tigers are averaging 41.3 points over their last 3 games. UAB has won 2 straight too, but they're averaging just 23.7 points in that span and getting 14.5 points on the road. Our model puts Memphis at 91%, aligned with a market that sees a sharp gap in offensive firepower.
Why the model leans MEM
- Favors Memphis: MEM+0.07Vegas point spread
- Favors Memphis: MEM+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Memphis: MEM+0.01Point differential, last 5 games