Week 7 slate
Week 7Thu, Oct 15 · 7:30 PM ETProtective Stadium, BirminghamPrime timeConference game
East Carolina
ECU · 3-2
57%
Win probability
UAB
UAB · 3-3
43%
Win probability
ECUUAB
Spread
ECU -4.5
Moneyline
ECU -194 / UAB +162
Total
O/U 47.5
Weather
80.7°F · 3.5 mph · Clear
Venue
Protective Stadium · Birmingham
Kickoff
Thu, Oct 15 · 7:30 PM ET
From the booth
East Carolina rides a 3-game win streak into Birmingham, while UAB is still hunting rhythm after a lopsided loss to Memphis. The Pirates are humming on both ends, averaging 30 points and yielding just 12.7 over their last 3. Our model has East Carolina at 57%, backed by the betting market laying 4.5 points and the Pirates' season strength and recent point differential.
Why the model leans ECU
- Favors East Carolina: ECU+0.14Vegas point spread
- Favors East Carolina: ECU+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors East Carolina: ECU+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge
- ECU