Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ETClarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, HonoluluPrime timeConference gameFinal
UNLV
UNLV · 0-1
21
Final
Hawai'i
HAW · 0-1
6
Final
Model called it
Spread
UNLV -2.5
Moneyline
UNLV -125 / HAW +105
Total
O/U 58.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex · Honolulu
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ET
Final
UNLV 21 / HAW 6
From the booth
The model favored UNLV to win, and the call landed.
UNLV is a slight favorite in this one, sitting at 54 percent to win, and the Vegas line backs that up with the Rebels favored by two and a half. Hawaii's been struggling offensively over their last five games, and that point differential tells the story of a team that's been playing from behind. This is gonna come down to execution in a critical Mountain West matchup, because these teams are about as evenly matched as they come.
Why the model leans UNLV
- Favors UNLV: UNLV+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors UNLV: UNLV+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors UNLV: UNLV+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games