Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ETFargodome, FargoFinal
Fordham
FOR · 0-0
0
Final
North Dakota State
NDSU · 1-0
38
Final
Model called it
Spread
NDSU -40.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 55.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
Fargodome · Fargo
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
FOR 0 / NDSU 38
From the booth
The model favored NDSU to win, and the call landed.
North Dakota State is absolutely rolling into this one as a massive 40 and a half point favorite, and the models agree with Vegas on this one. The Bison have a talent advantage that just shows up across the board, from their Elo rating to how they've been playing over their last five games, and the betting market is backing it all the way. Fordham's got an uphill climb, but that's why they play the games.
Why the model leans NDSU
- Favors North Dakota State: NDSU+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors North Dakota State: NDSU+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors North Dakota State: NDSU+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge