

Model missed
The model favored AF to win, and the call missed.
Well, this one's a coin flip, folks. Vegas and the betting markets are giving a slight edge to North Dakota State minus one and a half, but the statistical model says Air Force's got a 51 to 49 edge at home, largely because their offense has been firing on all cylinders over the last five games. This Mountain West showdown is gonna come down to execution in the trenches and who can protect the football, because on paper, these two teams are just about as evenly matched as it gets.
Model vcfb-1.0.0 · predicted Sep 12, 2026 · not betting advice