From the booth

The model favored NIU to win, and the call missed.

Northern Illinois is favored in this one, sitting at 58 percent to pull it off at home. But here's the thing, it's a pretty tight matchup. The Huskies have been playing better football lately with a solid offensive EPA over their last five games, and they've got the home-field advantage working for them. Illinois State's not backing down though, especially with Vegas only giving NIU a four and a half point edge, so don't sleep on the Redbirds pulling off the upset.