Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ETHuskie Stadium, DeKalbPrime timeConference gameFinal
Air Force
AF · 3-1
28
Final
Northern Illinois
NIU · 0-4
7
Final
Model called it
Spread
AF -7.5
Moneyline
AF -320 / NIU +255
Total
O/U 46.5
Weather
72.1°F · 11.5 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Huskie Stadium · DeKalb
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
AF 28 / NIU 7
From the booth
The model favored AF to win, and the call landed.
Air Force rides a 2-game win streak into DeKalb to face a Northern Illinois team searching for answers after a 4-game losing skid. The Falcons are 3-1 and edged Navy 14-9 at home, while the Huskies are 0-4 and got outscored 35-14 last time out. Our model backs Air Force at 71%, in line with a market laying 7.5 points. The Falcons' season-long strength and the betting consensus outweigh the Huskies' bye-week rest.
Why the model leans AF
- Favors Air Force: AF+0.19Vegas point spread
- Favors Air Force: AF+0.10Betting-market win probability
- Favors Northern Illinois: NIU+0.01Rest advantage