Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ETAllegiant Stadium, Las VegasPrime timeConference gameFinal
North Dakota State
NDSU · 5-0
7
Final
UNLV
UNLV · 3-2
13
Final
Model missed
Spread
NDSU -2.5
Moneyline
NDSU -144 / UNLV +118
Total
O/U 47.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
NDSU 7 / UNLV 13
From the booth
The model favored NDSU to win, and the call missed.
North Dakota State rolls in unbeaten at 5-0 and has been smothering teams on defense, allowing just 14 points over the last 3 games. Our model likes the Bison at 54%, a slight edge over a market laying 2.5 points. North Dakota State's dominance in point differential and overall strength fuel the pick, though the Rebels have won 2 straight and can score at home.
Why the model leans NDSU
- Favors North Dakota State: NDSU+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors North Dakota State: NDSU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors North Dakota State: NDSU+0.01Point differential, last 5 games