Week 6 slate
Week 6Fri, Oct 9 · 9:00 PM ETCEFCU Stadium, San JosePrime timeConference gameFinal
Wyoming
WYO · 2-3
16
Final
San José State
SJSU · 3-2
13
Final
Model missed
Spread
N/A
Moneyline
N/A
Total
N/A
Weather
74.5°F · 5.6 mph · Clear
Venue
CEFCU Stadium · San Jose
Kickoff
Fri, Oct 9 · 9:00 PM ET
Final
WYO 16 / SJSU 13
From the booth
The model favored SJSU to win, and the call missed.
Friday night in the Mountain West, and San José State just beat Hawai'i on the road while Wyoming got shut out at North Dakota State. The Spartans are scoring 20 points per game over their last 3, but the Cowboys are averaging just 12.3 in that span. Our model likes San José State at 65%, leaning on their recent win rate to overcome Wyoming's underlying defensive metrics.
Why the model leans SJSU
- Favors Wyoming: WYO+0.01Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games
- Favors Wyoming: WYO+0.01Point differential, last 5 games
- Favors Wyoming: WYO+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games