Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM ETKidd Brewer Stadium, BooneFinal
Charlotte
CLT · 0-2
21
Final
App State
APP · 2-0
26
Final
Model called it
Spread
APP -17.5
Moneyline
CLT +700 / APP -1100
Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Kidd Brewer Stadium · Boone
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM ET
Final
CLT 21 / APP 26
From the booth
The model favored APP to win, and the call landed.
App State's looking like a heavy favorite in this one, sitting at 93 percent to win at home. The Mountaineers have got the Vegas market completely on their side with that 17 and a half point spread, and they're backed by solid point differential work over their last five games. Charlotte's got that seven percent shot, and they'll need to find some offensive efficiency to make this interesting, because right now App State's in the driver's seat.
Why the model leans APP
- Favors App State: APP+0.09Vegas point spread
- Favors App State: APP+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Charlotte: CLT+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games