Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 4:00 PM ETUniversity Stadium (NM), AlbuquerqueFinal
Mercyhurst
MERC · 0-1
7
Final
New Mexico
UNM · 1-0
70
Final
Model called it
Spread
UNM -42.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 54.5
Weather
90.3°F · 4.4 mph · Clear
Venue
University Stadium (NM) · Albuquerque
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 4:00 PM ET
Final
MERC 7 / UNM 70
From the booth
The model favored UNM to win, and the call landed.
New Mexico is absolutely rolling into this one as a 42-and-a-half-point favorite, and folks, the numbers are screaming home team here. The Lobos have got the talent edge, they're playing better football lately, and Vegas is backing it up with that massive spread. Mercyhurst's got their hands full trying to pull off one of the biggest upsets you'll see all season, because the model's got New Mexico winning this thing 99 percent of the time. This one looks like a statement game for the home team.
Why the model leans UNM
- Favors New Mexico: UNM+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors New Mexico: UNM+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors New Mexico: UNMTeam rating (Elo) edge