From the booth

The model favored SAC to win, and the call landed.

Sacramento State is sitting pretty at 98 percent to take this one, and it's pretty straightforward why. The Hornets are getting Vegas's respect with nearly a 39-point spread, and when you combine that market confidence with their recent offensive efficiency and the way they've been playing over the last five games, this one's looking like a mismatch. Mississippi Valley State's gonna need to play a near-perfect game just to stay competitive on the road, but the data says that's a 2 percent shot at best.