From the booth

The model favored WMU to win, and the call landed.

Western Michigan is absolutely rolling into this one as a massive 27 and a half point favorite, and the model's got them at 99 percent to win. The Broncos' got the talent advantage with that Elo rating edge, they've been playing well lately in that point differential, and Vegas and the betting market are locked in on Western Michigan here. Monmouth's got a one percent shot, so we're talking about needing a perfect storm to pull off the upset, but hey, that's why they play the games.