From the booth

The model favored USA to win, and the call landed.

South Alabama's got this one favored at 69 percent, and the model likes what it sees with the Jaguars at home, especially with that betting market backing them up and Vegas laying six and a half in their favor. Now Ohio's not going to roll over, they've got some offensive juice with that EPA advantage over their last five games, and their point differential's been solid too. But the home-field advantage and the overall consensus around this matchup just gives the edge to South Alabama on the road back to Mobile.