From the booth

The model favored BALL to win, and the call missed.

Ball State comes in as a slight favorite at 51 percent to win this one, and it really comes down to their offensive efficiency over the last five games giving them just enough of an edge in a matchup that's basically a coin flip. Kent State's got the home field and the Vegas line is actually favoring them by two and a half, but Ball State's been moving the ball a touch better lately, and that's the difference in what's shaping up to be a tight Mid-American Conference battle. This one's gonna come down to execution when it matters most.