Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ETKelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount PleasantConference gameFinal
Akron
AKR · 1-3
17
Final
Central Michigan
CMU · 2-2
41
Final
Model called it
Spread
CMU -6.5
Moneyline
AKR +198 / CMU -245
Total
O/U 47.5
Weather
62.1°F · 6.6 mph · Clear
Venue
Kelly/Shorts Stadium · Mount Pleasant
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
AKR 17 / CMU 41
From the booth
The model favored CMU to win, and the call landed.
Akron visits Mount Pleasant on Saturday, and the Chippewas are licking their wounds after getting blasted by Miami 52-3. Akron lost to UNLV and hasn't won since Week 3, but beat Central Michigan 28-22 when these teams met earlier this year. Our model favors Central Michigan at 73%, backing the market's 6.5-point line. The Chippewas' season-long team strength still grades out ahead despite the recent collapse.
Why the model leans CMU
- Favors Central Michigan: CMU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Central Michigan: CMU+0.01Vegas point spread
- Favors Central Michigan: CMU+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge