Week 7 slate
Week 7Sat, Oct 17 · 1:00 PM ETUB Stadium, AmherstConference game
Massachusetts
MASS · 4-2
28%
Win probability
Buffalo
BUF · 3-3
72%
Win probability
MASSBUF
Spread
BUF -6.5
Moneyline
MASS +205 / BUF -250
Total
O/U 41.5
Weather
44.6°F · 11.6 mph · Clear
Venue
UB Stadium · Amherst
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 17 · 1:00 PM ET
From the booth
Conference game in Amherst, and Buffalo bounced back with a 23-8 road win over Toledo while Massachusetts dropped 2 straight, including a 1-point loss at home to Miami. Our model likes the Bulls at 72%, and the betting market agrees, laying 6.5 points. Buffalo's season-long strength rating backs it, though Massachusetts has been efficient on offense lately.
Why the model leans BUF
- Favors Buffalo: BUF+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Buffalo: BUF+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors Massachusetts: MASS+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- BUF