Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ETMcLane Stadium, WacoFinal
Louisiana Tech
LT · 1-1
19
Final
Baylor
BAY · 1-1
36
Final
Model called it
Spread
BAY -20.5
Moneyline
LT +890 / BAY -1700
Total
O/U 48.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
McLane Stadium · Waco
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ET
Final
LT 19 / BAY 36
From the booth
The model favored BAY to win, and the call landed.
Baylor's looking like a heavy favorite here with a 90 percent win probability, and it's the Vegas market that's really backing the Bears in this one. The oddsmakers have got them laying 20 and a half at home, and that spread is carrying a lot of weight in these projections. Now, Louisiana Tech's shown some offensive firepower in their last five games that's worth watching, but Baylor's just got too much separation for the Bulldogs to bridge here tonight.
Why the model leans BAY
- Favors Baylor: BAY+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Baylor: BAY+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Louisiana Tech: LT+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games