Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ETJohnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, MurfreesboroPrime timeFinal
Murray State
MUR · 0-0
14
Final
Middle Tennessee
MTSU · 0-0
38
Final
Model called it
Spread
MTSU -21.5
Moneyline
MUR +1000 / MTSU -2100
Total
O/U 57.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
MUR 14 / MTSU 38
From the booth
The model favored MTSU to win, and the call landed.
Well, folks, this one's not gonna be close. Middle Tennessee comes in as a massive favorite at 97 percent to win, and when you look at the numbers, it makes perfect sense. The Blue Raiders are putting up points at a clip that's just too much for Murray State to handle, they've got the momentum in their last five games, and Vegas has got them at 21 and a half for a reason. Murray State's got a real uphill climb tonight, just three percent to pull off the upset.
Why the model leans MTSU
- Favors Middle Tennessee: MTSU+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Middle Tennessee: MTSU+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Middle Tennessee: MTSUPoint differential, last 5 games