Week 7 slate
Week 7Sat, Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ETM. M. Roberts Stadium, HattiesburgPrime timeConference game
Arkansas State
ARST · 2-4
66%
Win probability
Southern Miss
USM · 1-4
34%
Win probability
ARSTUSM
Spread
ARST -7
Moneyline
ARST -265 / USM +215
Total
O/U 62.5
Weather
65.3°F · 14.1 mph · Clear
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
From the booth
Sun Belt conference matchup Saturday night in Hattiesburg, and both teams are trending down hard. Southern Miss has lost 4 straight and got torched by Troy 55-34, while Arkansas State dropped 2 in a row despite putting up points at home. Our model tabs the Red Wolves at 66%, aligned with Vegas laying 7, and Arkansas State's offensive efficiency over the last 5 games gives them the edge here.
Why the model leans ARST
- Favors Arkansas State: ARST+0.13Vegas point spread
- Favors Arkansas State: ARST+0.11Betting-market win probability
- Favors Arkansas State: ARST+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games