Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 3:45 PM ETBridgeforth Stadium, HarrisonburgConference gameFinal
Marshall
MRSH · 3-1
17
Final
James Madison
JMU · 4-0
45
Final
Model called it
Spread
JMU -18.5
Moneyline
MRSH +680 / JMU -1100
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
55.6°F · 4.7 mph · Overcast
Venue
Bridgeforth Stadium · Harrisonburg
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 3:45 PM ET
Final
MRSH 17 / JMU 45
From the booth
The model favored JMU to win, and the call landed.
James Madison rolls into Harrisonburg unbeaten and dominant, beating Old Dominion 46-20 while the Thundering Herd escape Gardner-Webb 36-35 at home. The Dukes are putting up 53 points and allowing just 12 over their last 3, and our model backs them hard at 88%, well ahead of an 18.5-point market line. Marshall's defense has been leaky, but the betting market and James Madison's point differential over the last 5 games anchor this one.
Why the model leans JMU
- Favors James Madison: JMU+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Marshall: MRSH+0.05Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games
- Favors James Madison: JMUBetting-market win probability