Week 7 slate
Week 7Sat, Oct 17 · 5:00 PM ETCajun Field, LafayetteConference game
Troy
TROY · 3-2
35%
Win probability
Louisiana
UL · 4-2
65%
Win probability
TROYUL
Spread
UL -4
Moneyline
TROY +150 / UL -180
Total
O/U 49.5
Weather
71.1°F · 18.2 mph · Clear
Venue
Cajun Field · Lafayette
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 17 · 5:00 PM ET
From the booth
Troy comes in hot off a 55-34 win over Southern Miss, but Louisiana gets the nod at home on Saturday night. The model likes the Ragin' Cajuns at 65%, backing the betting market that has them favored by 4. Louisiana's offensive efficiency over the last 5 games gives it the edge, though Troy's point differential in that same stretch keeps this one competitive.
Why the model leans UL
- Favors Louisiana: UL+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Louisiana: UL+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Louisiana: UL+0.02Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- TROY