Week 6 slate
Week 6Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ETWilliams Stadium (VA), LynchburgPrime timeConference gameFinal
Sam Houston
SHSU · 1-3
3
Final
Liberty
LIB · 4-1
35
Final
Model called it
Spread
LIB -13.5
Moneyline
SHSU +385 / LIB -520
Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
70.2°F · 7.2 mph · Clear
Venue
Williams Stadium (VA) · Lynchburg
Kickoff
Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
SHSU 3 / LIB 35
From the booth
The model favored LIB to win, and the call landed.
Liberty hosts Sam Houston on Thursday night in Conference USA, and the Flames are rolling with 4 straight wins and 38 points per game over their last 3. The Bearkats got demolished by Texas Tech 49-14, and our model backs Liberty at 70%, well ahead of the market laying 13.5 points at home.
Why the model leans LIB
- Favors Liberty: LIB+0.07Betting-market win probability
- Favors Sam Houston: SHSU+0.05Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- Favors Liberty: LIB+0.04Vegas point spread