Week 8 slate
Week 8Tue, Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ETDelaware Stadium, NewarkPrime timeConference game
Missouri State
MOST · 2-4
46%
Win probability
Delaware
DEL · 2-4
54%
Win probability
MOSTDEL
Spread
N/A
Moneyline
N/A
Total
N/A
Weather
58.8°F · 5.6 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Delaware Stadium · Newark
Kickoff
Tue, Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ET
From the booth
Conference USA on a Tuesday night, and both teams are 2-4 looking to stop the bleeding. Delaware just lost to Middle Tennessee 33-30 on the road and has dropped 3 straight, while Missouri State snapped a skid with a 24-21 win at home. Our model gives the edge to Delaware at 54%, leaning on their win rate over the last 5 games, though Missouri State's offensive efficiency and overall strength rating keep this one tight.
Why the model leans DEL
- Favors Missouri State: MOST+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- Favors Missouri State: MOST+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge
- Favors Missouri State: MOST+0.01Point differential, last 5 games