Week 1 slate
Week 1Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ETMelbourne Cricket GroundNeutral sitePrime timeDivisionalFinal
49ers
SF · 0-0
27
Final
Rams
LAR · 0-0
7
Final
Model missed
Spread
LAR -3.5
Moneyline
SF +164 / LAR -198
Total
O/U 48.5
Weather
48°F · 0.8 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Kickoff
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
Final
SF 27 / LAR 7
From the booth
The model favored LAR to win, and the call missed.
The Rams are favored in this one, and the model's got 'em at 62 percent to win at home. LA's getting a boost from the betting market and that three and a half point spread, but don't sleep on San Francisco here because the Niners have some injury advantages and they're hitting their stride as we get deeper into the season. This is a classic NFC West matchup where the home field's gonna matter, but it's far from a lock.
Why the model leans LAR
- Favors Rams: LAR+0.06Betting-market win probability
- Favors 49ers: SF+0.03Point in the season
- Favors Rams: LAR+0.03Vegas point spread