Week 2 slate
Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · 4:05 PM ETEmpower Field at Mile High, DenverFinal
Jaguars
JAX · 1-0
13
Final
Broncos
DEN · 0-1
20
Final
Model called it
Spread
DEN -3
Moneyline
JAX +130 / DEN -155
Total
O/U 45.5
Weather
70.5°F · 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Empower Field at Mile High · Denver
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20 · 4:05 PM ET
Final
JAX 13 / DEN 20
From the booth
The model favored DEN to win, and the call landed.
The Broncos are favored in this one, sitting at 58 percent to win at home, and the smart money coming in on Denver has a lot to do with it. The betting markets really like the Broncos here, and that Vegas three-point spread reflects some confidence in this matchup. Jacksonville's got a couple things working against them though, dealing with some injury issues and playing later in the season when you'd rather be home. It's close enough that the Jaguars absolutely have a shot at the upset, but Denver's got the edge in this one.
Why the model leans DEN
- Favors Broncos: DEN+0.06Betting-market win probability
- Favors Jaguars: JAX+0.02Overall injury burden
- Favors Jaguars: JAXPoint in the season