Week 2 slate
Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · 4:05 PM ETSoFi Stadium, InglewoodDivisionalFinal
Raiders
LV · 1-0
26
Final
Chargers
LAC · 0-1
14
Final
Model missed
Spread
LAC -7
Moneyline
LV +260 / LAC -325
Total
O/U 43.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
SoFi Stadium · Inglewood
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20 · 4:05 PM ET
Final
LV 26 / LAC 14
From the booth
The model favored LAC to win, and the call missed.
The Chargers are favored in this one, and they should be. The model's got Los Angeles at 66 percent to win, and that's being driven by the betting market which sees a significant edge for the home team, plus Vegas itself laying seven points for San Diego. The Chargers also have the better team on paper with their Elo rating advantage, though we are getting a little help from the calendar with the Raiders having some things working in their favor late in the season.
Why the model leans LAC
- Favors Chargers: LAC+0.08Betting-market win probability
- Favors Raiders: LV+0.04Point in the season
- Favors Chargers: LAC+0.04Vegas point spread