Week 3 slate
Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · 4:05 PM ETLevi's Stadium, Santa ClaraDivisionalFinal
Cardinals
ARI · 1-1
30
Final
49ers
SF · 2-0
36
Final
Model called it
Spread
SF -7.5
Moneyline
ARI +320 / SF -410
Total
O/U 48.5
Weather
67.9°F · 7.2 mph · Clear
Venue
Levi's Stadium · Santa Clara
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 27 · 4:05 PM ET
Final
ARI 30 / SF 36
From the booth
The model favored SF to win, and the call landed.
The 49ers come in as the favorites here with a 63 percent win probability, and the betting market clearly agrees with that assessment. San Francisco's got the edge in recent form with a positive point differential over their last five games, and Vegas backs it up with a seven and a half point spread in their favor. The Cardinals aren't completely out of this thing at 37 percent, but they'll be fighting an uphill battle on the road against a team that's playing winning football right now.
Why the model leans SF
- Favors 49ers: SF+0.07Betting-market win probability
- Favors 49ers: SF+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors Cardinals: ARI+0.03Point in the season