Week 3 slate
Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ETAcrisure Stadium, PittsburghDivisionalFinal
Bengals
CIN · 2-0
27
Final
Steelers
PIT · 1-1
30
Final
Model missed
Spread
CIN -3.5
Moneyline
CIN -185 / PIT +154
Total
O/U 42.5
Weather
68.8°F · 14.9 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
CIN 27 / PIT 30
From the booth
The model favored CIN to win, and the call missed.
Well folks, the Cincinnati Bengals are favored in this one, and they're coming in with a 61 percent win probability over the Steelers. Pittsburgh's facing some real headwinds here, literally and figuratively. That Bengals offense has been humming over their last five games with better EPA production, and both the betting market and Vegas agree this is Cincinnati's game to lose at 39 percent for the home team. The wind might give Pittsburgh a tiny boost, but it's not gonna be enough to flip this one.
Why the model leans CIN
- Favors Bengals: CIN+0.09Betting-market win probability
- Favors Bengals: CIN+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Bengals: CINOffensive EPA/play, last 5 games