Week 3 slate
Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ETHighmark Stadium, Orchard ParkFinal
Chargers
LAC · 0-2
16
Final
Bills
BUF · 2-0
24
Final
Model called it
Spread
BUF -7
Moneyline
LAC +270 / BUF -340
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
65.6°F · 15.6 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Highmark Stadium · Orchard Park
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
LAC 16 / BUF 24
From the booth
The model favored BUF to win, and the call landed.
The Buffalo Bills come in here as pretty clear favorites with a 73 percent win probability, and honestly the model likes what it sees with the Bills getting healthy while LA's dealing with some injury issues of their own. Vegas has them favored by a full touchdown, and that market signal matters too. The Chargers aren't without a chance at 27 percent, but Buffalo's got the edge in all the right places in this one.
Why the model leans BUF
- Favors Bills: BUF+0.07Betting-market win probability
- Favors Chargers: LAC+0.03Point in the season
- Favors Bills: BUF+0.03Vegas point spread