From the booth

The model favored NO to win, and the call missed.

The Saints are favored in the Superdome with a 60 percent win probability, and the betting market likes them here, giving New Orleans a nice edge at home with that three and a half point spread. Las Vegas's got some momentum working in their favor though, sitting at 40 percent, but the point differential in their last five games just hasn't been there to carry them into this one. This matchup comes down to home field advantage and what the smart money's telling us, and that's pointing pretty clearly toward the black and gold getting this one done at home.