Week 4 slate
Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ETTottenham Hotspur StadiumNeutral siteFinal
Colts
IND · 1-2
30
Final
Commanders
WAS · 1-2
13
Final
Model called it
Spread
IND -4.5
Moneyline
IND -205 / WAS +170
Total
O/U 46.5
Weather
61.6°F · 2 mph · Overcast
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET
Final
IND 30 / WAS 13
From the booth
The model favored IND to win, and the call landed.
Colts and Commanders meet at Tottenham on Sunday morning, but Washington's down to a backup at quarterback with Jayden Daniels out. Indianapolis won a tight one over the Texans 19-17, while the Commanders scraped past the Seahawks 33-31 in a shootout. Our model favors the Colts at 68%, and the market agrees, laying 4.5 points on Indianapolis. The injury report tilts this one decisively, particularly at the QB spot.
Why the model leans IND
- Favors Colts: IND+0.11Betting-market win probability
- Favors Colts: IND+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Colts: IND+0.01Overall injury burden