Week 4 slate
Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ETSoldier Field, ChicagoFinal
Jets
NYJ · 1-2
12
Final
Bears
CHI · 2-1
23
Final
Model called it
Spread
CHI -3.5
Moneyline
NYJ +154 / CHI -185
Total
O/U 43.5
Weather
66.9°F · 8.5 mph · Clear
Venue
Soldier Field · Chicago
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
NYJ 12 / CHI 23
From the booth
The model favored CHI to win, and the call landed.
The Bears are rolling at home with a dominant 27-7 win over the Eagles, but they're without Caleb Williams at quarterback. The Jets have dropped 2 straight and are dealing with injuries across the roster. Our model gives Chicago 65%, right in line with the market laying 3.5 points at Soldier Field. The Bears' point differential over their last 5 games and the overall betting consensus back the home team here.
Why the model leans CHI
- Favors Bears: CHI+0.06Betting-market win probability
- Favors Bears: CHI+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors Jets: NYJ+0.03Point in the season