Week 5 slate
Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ETHard Rock Stadium, Miami GardensFinal
Bengals
CIN · 2-2
31
Final
Dolphins
MIA · 0-4
24
Final
Model called it
Spread
CIN -7
Moneyline
CIN -355 / MIA +280
Total
O/U 43.5
Weather
89.2°F · 10.2 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
CIN 31 / MIA 24
From the booth
The model favored CIN to win, and the call landed.
Sunday afternoon, the Bengals visit the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens in this AFC matchup. Our model gives the Bengals 70% and the Dolphins 30%. The Bengals are favored by 7 points in the betting market. The Bengals are 2-2 and have lost 2 straight, while the Dolphins are 0-4 and have lost 4 straight.
Why the model leans CIN
- Favors Bengals: CIN+0.12Betting-market win probability
- Favors Bengals: CIN+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Bengals: CIN+0.03Team rating (Elo) edge