Week 5 slate
Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ETMetLife Stadium, East RutherfordFinal
Browns
CLE · 3-1
12
Final
Jets
NYJ · 1-3
17
Final
Model called it
Spread
NYJ -2.5
Moneyline
CLE +114 / NYJ -135
Total
O/U 39.5
Weather
61.2°F · 12.9 mph · Rain, Overcast
Venue
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
CLE 12 / NYJ 17
From the booth
The model favored NYJ to win, and the call landed.
Browns roll into MetLife riding a 3-game winning streak and a 3-1 record, but the Jets get the nod at home. New York's down to 1-3 after dropping 3 straight, yet the model backs the Jets at 59% with the market laying just 2.5 points. The Jets' injury list is steep, but Cleveland's season-long strength rating gives New York the edge in rain or snow.
Why the model leans NYJ
- Favors Jets: NYJ+0.04Overall injury burden
- Favors Jets: NYJ+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Browns: CLE+0.02Point in the season