Week 5 slate
Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ETTottenham Hotspur StadiumNeutral siteFinal
Eagles
PHI · 2-2
17
Final
Jaguars
JAX · 3-1
19
Final
Model called it
Spread
JAX -8.5
Moneyline
PHI +330 / JAX -425
Total
O/U 41.5
Weather
75.9°F · 10.5 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET
Final
PHI 17 / JAX 19
From the booth
The model favored JAX to win, and the call landed.
Jacksonville hosts Philadelphia Sunday morning, and the Jaguars are rolling. They won 2 straight, including a road win over the Bengals, while the Eagles have lost 2 straight and are missing their top receivers plus Barkley. The model has Jacksonville at 68%, aligned with a market favoring the Jaguars by 8.5 points.
Why the model leans JAX
- Favors Jaguars: JAX+0.10Betting-market win probability
- Favors Jaguars: JAX+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors Jaguars: JAX+0.04Overall injury burden