Week 5 slate
Week 5Thu, Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ETAT&T Stadium, ArlingtonPrime timeFinal
Buccaneers
TB · 0-4
24
Final
Cowboys
DAL · 2-2
16
Final
Model missed
Spread
DAL -8.5
Moneyline
TB +360 / DAL -470
Total
O/U 47.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
AT&T Stadium · Arlington
Kickoff
Thu, Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET
Final
TB 24 / DAL 16
From the booth
The model favored DAL to win, and the call missed.
Thursday night at AT&T Stadium, and the Cowboys are rolling while the Buccaneers are in free fall. Dallas just won on the road and is averaging 34 points over its last 3, but Tampa comes in 0-4 and without Baker Mayfield at QB. Our model has Dallas at 72%, and the market agrees, laying 8.5 points behind the Cowboys' season-long strength.
Why the model leans DAL
- Favors Cowboys: DAL+0.11Betting-market win probability
- Favors Cowboys: DAL+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors Buccaneers: TB+0.03Point in the season