Week 6 slate
Week 6Sun, Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ETGEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas CityDivisional
Chargers
LAC · 0-5
19%
Win probability
Chiefs
KC · 4-0
81%
Win probability
LACKC
Spread
KC -8.5
Moneyline
LAC +370 / KC -485
Total
O/U 42.5
Weather
63.8°F · 12.7 mph · Clear
Venue
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas City
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
From the booth
AFC West showdown in Kansas City, and the Chiefs are rolling. Kansas City sits 4-0 off a bye week, while the Chargers are in freefall at 0-5 after a loss at home last week. Our model has the Chiefs at a commanding 81%, well ahead of the market laying 8.5 points. The Chiefs' depth and overall strength separate them here, and the Chargers are missing weapons with Harris doubtful.
Why the model leans KC
- Favors Chiefs: KC+0.08Betting-market win probability
- Favors Chiefs: KC+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors Chiefs: KC+0.02Overall injury burden
- KC