Week 6 slate
Week 6Mon, Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ETLevi's Stadium, Santa ClaraPrime time
Commanders
WAS · 1-3-1
29%
Win probability
49ers
SF · 5-0
71%
Win probability
WASSF
Spread
SF -7.5
Moneyline
WAS +330 / SF -425
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
63.6°F · 10.8 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Levi's Stadium · Santa Clara
Kickoff
Mon, Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET
From the booth
Monday night in the NFC, and it's a clash of completely different seasons. San Francisco is 5-0 and riding a hot offense, while Washington limps in at 1-3-1 and just tied the Giants. Our model has the 49ers at 71%, and that lines up with a market laying 7.5 points. San Francisco's strength rating and recent point differential back the pick, though the 49ers are without Deebo Samuel Sr. and the Commanders' Marcus Mariota is doubtful.
Why the model leans SF
- Favors 49ers: SF+0.09Betting-market win probability
- Favors 49ers: SF+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors 49ers: SF+0.02Team rating (Elo) edge
- SF